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Estimates of Coverage Changes for Children Enrolled in Separate Children’s Health Insurance Programs in the Absence of Additional Federal CHIP Funding

MACPAC commissioned the Urban Institute to update its Health Insurance Policy Simulation Model (HIPSM) to consider the alternative health insurance options that would be available to children enrolled in separate CHIP programs were separate CHIP coverage to be discontinued.

The analysis prepared for MACPAC was based on the HIPSM model that relies on the American Community Survey (ACS). The HIPSM-ACS was updated for this analysis using new estimates from the Medical Expenditure Survey–Insurance Component.

Chapter 1, “Sources of Coverage for Children if CHIP Funding Is Exhausted,” of the March 2015 Report to Congress on Medicaid and CHIP presents key findings from the Urban Institute’s simulation modeling. This report provides additional detail on the methodology used to develop the estimates and includes supplemental tables that support the estimates included in chapter 1 of the March 2015  report.